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S&P: Sukuk Issuance Fell Dramatically In 2008

14/01/2009 01:49:20 PM GMT   Comments ()     Add a comment     Print     E-mail
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PARIS, January 14, 2009--Despite a dramatic decline in volumes in 2008, the long-term perspectives for global sukuk issuance are still good, said Standard & Poor's Ratings Services in a report published today "Sukuk Market Declined Sharply In 2008, But Long-Term Prospects Remain Strong."

"The decline in sukuk issuance in 2008 was as a result of global market turmoil, drying up of liquidity, widening of credit spreads, and investors' wait-and-see attitude," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Mohamed Damak. "Although difficult to measure, part of this decline could also have been due to s about the Sharia compliance of some sukuk by the Accounting and Auditing Organization for Islamic Financial Institutions.

More than 45% of sukuk issued in 2008 were "ijara" (lease financing), most probably as a direct consequence of the debate about Sharia compliance among some scholars. The value of sukuk issued in 2008 dropped by more than 56% compared with 2007, to $14.9 billion. "We do not expect the market to start reviving before the second half of 2009 or early 2010," added Mr. Damak.

Long-term prospects for the sukuk market remain strong, however. Although volumes dropped dramatically in 2008, the sukuk market attracted about the same number of issuers. Conservative estimates of the pipeline of sukuk that have been talked about or announced are in excess of $45 billion.

Several factors support sustainable growth of this market, including increasing popularity of Sharia-compliant products and government openness to Islamic finance, massive investment and financing needs in the Gulf, and issuers' desire to tap investors from the Middle East and Muslim Asia. Issuers from more than 20 countries have expressed interest in issuing, or announced their intention to issue, sukuk, and we anticipate that several new sovereigns will enter the market.

To date, Standard & Poor's has rated 27 sukuk (or sukuk programs), the bulk of which are ijara or "musharaka" (venture capital financing). Credit spreads on sukuk have followed the same trend as for conventional bonds, with a sharp widening in the past 12 months. The average size of the sukuk issued last year declined significantly, partly due to the lower appetite of investors.

At the same time, the U.S. dollar lost is place as the currency of choice for sukuk, with only about 10% of issues raised in this currency. Standard & Poor's expects the sukuk market to continue being skewed toward issuances in local currencies, at least in the foreseeable future. Once global markets return to normal, dollar-denominated sukuk issuance will pick up again.

The reports are available to subscribers of RatingsDirect, the real-time Web-based source for Standard & Poor's credit ratings, research, and risk analysis, at www.ratingsdirect.com. If you are not a RatingsDirect subscriber, you may purchase copies of these reports by calling (1) 212-438-9823 or sending an e-mail to research_request@standardandpoors.com. Ratings information can also be found on Standard & Poor's public Web site at www.standardandpoors.com; select Ratings in the left navigation bar, then Find a Rating. Alternatively, call one of the following Standard & Poor's numbers: Client Support Europe (44) 20-7176-7176; London Press Office (44) 20-7176-3605; Paris (33) 1-4420-6708; Frankfurt (49) 69-33-999-225; Stockholm (46) 8-440-5914; or Moscow (7) 495-783-4017.

-Ends-

About Standard & Poor's in the Gulf Cooperation Council Standard & Poor's is the leading provider of financial market intelligence to customers in the Gulf's credit risk management, wealth management, and data and information markets. Since entering the region in the early 1990's, Standard & Poor's has become the largest provider of credit ratings in the G.C.C, rating 110 issuers. In equity markets, Shariah-compliant versions of Standard & Poor's global and regional equity market indices - S&P 500, S&P Europe 350, S&P Japan 500 and S&P/IFCI GCC - have created new opportunities for Islamic investors to benchmark their international investments and for asset managers to create new investment products serving the Islamic community. Standard & Poor's Fund Services launched a qualitative fund management rating service for regional asset managers in 2007. For further details on Standard & Poor's regional capabilities please visit&www.gcc.standardandpoors.com

Analyst contacts: Mohamed Damak, Paris Emmanuel Volland, Paris Ritesh Maheshwari, Singapore&

Press Office Contacts: London: +44 20 7176 3605 Dubai: +971 4709 6830 Paris: +33 1 44 20 6740 Frankfurt: +49 69 33999 225 Milan: +39 02 72 111 245 Madrid: +34 91 389 6944 Moscow: +7 495 783 4011 Stockholm: +46 8 440 5914

© Press Release 2009 from Standard & Poor's Communications & omar 1.1:zy

Source: AJP
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